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SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
EZ

Ezequiel Ponce

Striker 67% of 9 recent starts ElcheLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Elche vs Celta Vigo›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 37 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.87 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots2.61 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
1.10bet365Edge
Fouls won1.30 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.36bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.61 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.29bet365Edge
Tackles1.30 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.43 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.43 per 90
10%
1 of 100.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Ezequiel Ponce has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Ezequiel Ponce in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 13 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ezequiel PonceElche 32.23 1.49
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad 72.07 0.75
Ante BudimirOsasuna 73.23 1.79
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 73.64 1.53
Fernando NiñoElche 72.11 0.77
Martín SatrianoGetafe 72.48 2.15
These 5, combined 2.70 1.42

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ezequiel Ponce featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Real Sociedad7 Sep 55 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Real Racing Club30 Aug 45 0 1 2 1 1 0
FC Barcelona23 Aug 21 1 1 0 2 1 0
Cádiz4 Jun 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sevilla24 May 24 0 2 0 0 1 0
Atlético Madrid14 May 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Almería2 May 23 1 1 2 0 0 0
Rayo Vallecano29 Apr 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Celta Vigo26 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Girona FC16 Apr 15 0 0 1 0 0 1
Officials on record
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 4 games Ezequiel Ponce never booked 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 3 games Ezequiel Ponce never booked 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ezequiel Ponce have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Ezequiel Ponce has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ezequiel Ponce average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Ezequiel Ponce is averaging 0.87 shots on target and 2.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ezequiel Ponce get booked?

Ezequiel Ponce is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ezequiel Ponce commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ezequiel Ponce commits 2.61 fouls per 90 and wins 1.30 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ezequiel Ponce?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ezequiel Ponce plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.