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La Liga 26/27
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Gorka Guruzeta

Striker 93% of 30 recent starts Athletic ClubLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Athletic Club at Levante UD›
Wed 16 SepReferee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.86 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
1.30PPEdge
Total shots3.00 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
1.07PPEdge
Fouls won0.71 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
1.44PPEdge
Fouls committed2.14 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.8×
1.29PPEdge
Tackles1.28 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 8
Cards0.43 per 90
30%
3 of 102.9×
Goals0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.29 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Gorka Guruzeta has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Gorka Guruzeta in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 13 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Gorka GuruzetaAthletic Club 41.01 2.53
Fernando NiñoElche 72.11 0.77
Enes ÜnalGetafe 71.65 1.65
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 73.64 1.53
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad 72.07 0.75
ChupeteMálaga CF 82.21 1.52
These 5, combined 2.31 1.27

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Gorka Guruzeta featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Atlético Madrid5 Sep 14 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Celta Vigo30 Aug 25 0 0 3 0 0 0
Sevilla23 Aug 58 0 2 0 2 0 1
@ FC Barcelona16 Aug 81 0 0 1 1 1 1
@ Real Madrid23 May 74 1 4 1 1 0 0
Celta Vigo17 May 82 0 4 4 0 0 0
@ Espanyol13 May 27 1 2 1 0 0 0
Valencia10 May 90 2 4 1 0 4 0
@ Deportivo Alavés2 May 90 0 1 1 1 3 1
@ Atlético Madrid25 Apr 90 2 4 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Juan Martinez Munuera 11 games Gorka Guruzeta never booked 4.85cards/game 1.00×vs league
José María Sánchez Martínez 9 games Gorka Guruzeta booked in 1 5.32cards/game 1.09×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 9 games Gorka Guruzeta booked in 1 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league
Alejandro Hernandez 9 games Gorka Guruzeta never booked 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Gorka Guruzeta have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Gorka Guruzeta has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Gorka Guruzeta average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Gorka Guruzeta is averaging 0.86 shots on target and 3.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Gorka Guruzeta get booked?

Gorka Guruzeta is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Gorka Guruzeta commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Gorka Guruzeta commits 2.14 fouls per 90 and wins 0.71 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gorka Guruzeta?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gorka Guruzeta plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.