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Ligue 1 25/26
AI

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Full-back 80% of 30 recent starts EvertonLigue 1 25/26

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Everton vs Nice›
Sun 18 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 full-back, 25/26, 1,078 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.5×
Total shots0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Fouls won0.32 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed0.86 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles1.83 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 101.6×
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ainsley Maitland-Niles has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Ainsley Maitland-Niles in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 44 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ainsley Maitland-NilesEverton 300.51 1.34
Yanis ZouaouiLe Havre 300.61 0.84
Carlens ArcusAngers 260.39 1.45
Timothy WeahOlympique de Marseille 291.15 1.27
Abner ViníciusOlympique Lyonnais 260.71 0.96
Thomas MeunierSunderland 250.85 1.36
These 5, combined 0.75 1.16

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
RC Lens17 May 45 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Toulouse10 May 89 0 0 0 0 2 0
Stade Rennais3 May 90 0 0 2 0 0 0
Auxerre25 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain19 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
Lorient12 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 1 1
@ Angers5 Apr 73 1 1 0 1 1 0
@ Olympique de Marseille1 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 5 0
@ RC Strasbourg22 Feb 90 0 0 2 1 4 0
Nice15 Feb 89 0 0 1 0 2 1
Officials on record
Eric Wattellier 8 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles booked in 2 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 7 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles booked in 1 4.06cards/game 1.05×vs league
François Letexier 6 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles booked in 1 4.22cards/game 1.09×vs league
Bastien Dechepy 6 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles never booked 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ainsley Maitland-Niles have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ainsley Maitland-Niles has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ainsley Maitland-Niles average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ainsley Maitland-Niles is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.22 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ainsley Maitland-Niles get booked?

Ainsley Maitland-Niles is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ainsley Maitland-Niles commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 0.32 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ainsley Maitland-Niles?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ainsley Maitland-Niles plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.