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Ligue 1 · 25/26
AI

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Defender · Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Ainsley Maitland-Niles has hit 1+ shot on target in 23% of 30 Ligue 1 appearances (7 of 30), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 63%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (6 of 30). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.22
20%2 of 10
0.22
30%3 of 10
0.32
60%6 of 10
0.86
20%2 of 10
0.22
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Olympique Lyonnais at Toulouse
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
RC Lens17 May 45 0 0 1 0 0
@ Toulouse10 May 89 0 0 0 0 0
Stade Rennais3 May 90 0 0 2 0 0
Auxerre25 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain19 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 0
Lorient12 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 1
@ Angers5 Apr 73 1 1 0 1 0
@ Olympique de Marseille1 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ RC Strasbourg22 Feb 90 0 0 2 1 0
Nice15 Feb 89 0 0 1 0 1
Officials on record
Benoît Bastien 10 games · Ainsley Maitland-Niles booked in 1 3.99cards/game 1.03×vs league
Eric Wattellier 8 games · Ainsley Maitland-Niles booked in 2 3.40cards/game 0.87×vs league
Thomas Leonard 7 games · Ainsley Maitland-Niles booked in 2 3.73cards/game 0.96×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 7 games · Ainsley Maitland-Niles booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Ainsley Maitland-Niles have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ainsley Maitland-Niles has hit 1+ shot on target in 23% of 30 Ligue 1 appearances (7 of 30). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Ainsley Maitland-Niles average?

Across 30 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Ainsley Maitland-Niles is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.51 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ainsley Maitland-Niles get booked?

Ainsley Maitland-Niles is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ainsley Maitland-Niles commit or win more fouls?

This season Ainsley Maitland-Niles commits 1.34 fouls per 90 and wins 0.43 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ainsley Maitland-Niles?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ainsley Maitland-Niles plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.