What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ainsley Maitland-Niles has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
Ainsley Maitland-Niles has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ainsley Maitland-NilesEvertonUEFA Europa League | 8 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Lucas PiresBurnley | 20 | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Malo GustoChelsea | 34 | 0.48 | 0.79 |
| Lucas DigneParis Saint-Germain | 31 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| Timothy CastagneFulham | 30 | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Pedro PorroTottenham Hotspur | 34 | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| These 5, combined | 0.78 | 0.87 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich19 Sep | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham12 Sep | 75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Man Utd6 Sep | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fulham13 May | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest8 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle30 Apr | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth27 Apr | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace15 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Man City8 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ West Ham2 Apr | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ainsley Maitland-Niles have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ainsley Maitland-Niles has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ainsley Maitland-Niles average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Ainsley Maitland-Niles is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 0.29 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ainsley Maitland-Niles get booked?
Ainsley Maitland-Niles is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ainsley Maitland-Niles commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ainsley Maitland-Niles commits 1.01 fouls per 90 and wins 0.29 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ainsley Maitland-Niles?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ainsley Maitland-Niles plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.