What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 full-back, 25/26, 1,078 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ben Chilwell has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Ben Chilwell in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 44 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben ChilwellCrystal Palace | 20 | 0.28 | 0.79 |
| Nicolas CozzaNantes | 29 | 0.47 | 0.90 |
| Kelvin AmianNantes | 23 | 0.46 | 1.06 |
| Lucas HernándezParis Saint-Germain | 25 | 0.57 | 1.13 |
| Yanis ZouaouiLe Havre | 30 | 0.61 | 0.84 |
| Caio HenriqueAS Monaco | 22 | 0.12 | 0.76 |
| These 5, combined | 0.46 | 0.94 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ben Chilwell featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice4 Apr | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris FC15 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Auxerre7 Mar | 65 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais22 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille14 Feb | 85 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre8 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Paris Saint-Germain1 Feb | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Lille25 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Metz18 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nice3 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ben Chilwell have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ben Chilwell has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ben Chilwell average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ben Chilwell is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ben Chilwell get booked?
Ben Chilwell is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ben Chilwell commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ben Chilwell commits 0.87 fouls per 90 and wins 1.08 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ben Chilwell?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ben Chilwell plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.