Chancel Mbemba
Centre-back 77% of 30 recent starts LilleLigue 1 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Chancel Mbemba has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Chancel Mbemba in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 57 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chancel MbembaLille | 13 | 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Bryan OkohAuxerre | 13 | 0.71 | 1.16 |
| DanteNice | 13 | 0.77 | 1.06 |
| Ayumu SekoLe Havre | 30 | 0.58 | 0.96 |
| Chidozie AwaziemNantes | 26 | 0.44 | 0.93 |
| Nathan NgoyLille | 29 | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| These 5, combined | 0.64 | 0.93 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Chancel Mbemba featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille22 Mar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nantes1 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Brestois14 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Strasbourg25 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Auxerre14 Dec | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre30 Nov | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris FC23 Nov | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Angers2 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Metz26 Oct | 90 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Chancel Mbemba have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Chancel Mbemba has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Chancel Mbemba average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Chancel Mbemba is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.74 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Chancel Mbemba get booked?
Chancel Mbemba is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Chancel Mbemba commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Chancel Mbemba commits 0.74 fouls per 90 and wins 0.50 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Chancel Mbemba?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Chancel Mbemba plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.