What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ibrahim Mbaye has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Ibrahim Mbaye in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 41 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim MbayeAston Villa | 24 | 2.17 | 0.90 |
| Ibrahim OsmanBrighton & Hove Albion | 14 | 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Jonathan IkonéParis FC | 23 | 2.04 | 1.06 |
| Ethan MbappéLille | 18 | 2.22 | 1.11 |
| Giorgi AbuashviliMetz | 23 | 2.96 | 1.03 |
| Igor PaixãoOlympique de Marseille | 30 | 2.59 | 0.95 |
| These 5, combined | 2.48 | 1.01 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ibrahim Mbaye featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Paris FC17 May | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Lens13 May | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorient2 May | 62 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Angers25 Apr | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nantes22 Apr | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nice21 Mar | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre28 Feb | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Metz21 Feb | 45 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg1 Feb | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Auxerre23 Jan | 61 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ibrahim Mbaye have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ibrahim Mbaye has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ibrahim Mbaye average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ibrahim Mbaye is averaging 1.31 shots on target and 2.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ibrahim Mbaye get booked?
Ibrahim Mbaye is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ibrahim Mbaye commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ibrahim Mbaye commits 0.26 fouls per 90 and wins 0.78 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ibrahim Mbaye?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ibrahim Mbaye plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.