What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 2 games
Compared with a Premier League forward, 25/26, 2,530 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Comparable wingers
Ibrahim Mbaye has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim MbayeAston VillaLigue 1 | 24 | 2.17 | 0.90 |
| Wilson OdobertTottenham Hotspur | 24 | 2.00 | 0.18 |
| Marcus EdwardsBurnley | 23 | 1.93 | 0.59 |
| Noni MaduekeArsenal | 26 | 1.91 | 1.10 |
| Loum TchaounaCoventry City | 29 | 1.57 | 0.89 |
| Samuel ChukwuezeAC Milan | 23 | 2.09 | 0.42 |
| These 5, combined | 1.89 | 0.67 |
Recent matches
The last 2 games Ibrahim Mbaye featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Tottenham19 Sep | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest12 Sep | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How many shots on target does Ibrahim Mbaye average?
Across the last 2 Premier League games, Ibrahim Mbaye is averaging 2.14 shots on target and 2.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ibrahim Mbaye get booked?
Ibrahim Mbaye is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 2 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ibrahim Mbaye commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 2 games Ibrahim Mbaye commits 4.29 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ibrahim Mbaye?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ibrahim Mbaye plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.