Ismaily
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ismaily has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ismaily featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Stade Brestois10 May | 88 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Olympique de Marseille4 May | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Angers27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Auxerre20 Apr | 86 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Toulouse12 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais5 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RC Lens30 Mar | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nantes15 Mar | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Montpellier8 Mar | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain1 Mar | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Ismaily have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ismaily has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Ismaily average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ismaily is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 1.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ismaily get booked?
Ismaily is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ismaily commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ismaily commits 1.08 fouls per 90 and wins 0.46 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ismaily?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ismaily plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.