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Ligue 1 26/27
JO

João Neves

Central midfielder 83% of 30 recent starts Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans›
Sat 10 OctReferee Mathieu Vernice

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 central midfielder, 25/26, 2,122 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.62 per 90
30%
3 of 101.6×
2.23MGMEdge
Total shots2.32 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls won1.08 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.93 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Tackles2.16 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
10%
1 of 101.0×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, João Neves has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to João Neves in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 82 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
João NevesParis Saint-Germain 211.89 0.91
Tanner TessmannOlympique Lyonnais 291.19 0.96
Tom LouchetNice 281.35 0.98
Dro FernándezParis Saint-Germain 121.19 1.06
Rassoul NdiayeLe Havre 331.19 0.77
Nabil BentalebLille 261.26 0.98
These 5, combined 1.23 0.91

Recent matches

The last 10 games João Neves featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Olympique de Marseille20 Sep 90 1 3 1 1 4 0
@ Stade Brestois13 Sep 90 2 2 0 1 3 0
AS Monaco4 Sep 90 0 2 3 2 1 0
@ Stade Rennais23 Aug 60 1 3 1 0 2 0
@ Paris FC17 May 22 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ RC Lens13 May 76 0 1 0 1 1 0
Stade Brestois10 May 21 0 2 0 1 2 0
Lorient2 May 28 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Angers25 Apr 45 0 0 0 1 1 0
Nantes22 Apr 60 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Willy Delajod 7 games João Neves booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.96×vs league
Clement Turpin 5 games João Neves never booked 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
François Letexier 5 games João Neves never booked 4.22cards/game 1.09×vs league
Eric Wattellier 4 games João Neves never booked 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does João Neves have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, João Neves has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does João Neves average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, João Neves is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 2.32 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does João Neves get booked?

João Neves is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does João Neves commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games João Neves commits 0.93 fouls per 90 and wins 1.08 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Neves?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. João Neves plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.