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Ligue 1 26/27
LU

Lucas Høgsberg

Centre-back 70% of 23 recent starts RC StrasbourgLigue 1 26/27

Next match
RC Strasbourg at Nice›
Sun 11 OctReferee Jeremie Pignard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 27 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
8.50PPEdge
Total shots0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.00PPEdge
Fouls won0.54 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.54 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
Tackles1.22 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Høgsberg has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Lucas Høgsberg in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 57 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lucas HøgsbergRC Strasbourg 240.20 0.80
Terry YegbeMetz 240.27 0.87
Ismael DoukouréRC Strasbourg 250.30 0.91
Ilya ZabarnyiParis Saint-Germain 280.15 0.68
Wout FaesAS Monaco 140.39 1.10
Tylel TatiNantes 200.16 1.20
These 5, combined 0.24 0.92

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lucas Høgsberg featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Troyes6 Sep 11 0 0 1 0 0 0
RC Lens29 Aug 83 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Olympique de Marseille21 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
AS Monaco17 May 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Stade Brestois13 May 90 0 0 2 0 1 0
@ Angers10 May 89 0 0 0 0 1 0
Toulouse3 May 90 0 0 0 1 3 0
@ Lorient26 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 1 1
Stade Rennais19 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 0 0
Nice4 Apr 32 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Jeremie Pignard 3 games Lucas Høgsberg booked in 1 4.43cards/game 1.14×vs league
Clement Turpin 3 games Lucas Høgsberg never booked 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lucas Høgsberg have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Høgsberg has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lucas Høgsberg average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Høgsberg is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lucas Høgsberg get booked?

Lucas Høgsberg is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lucas Høgsberg commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lucas Høgsberg commits 0.54 fouls per 90 and wins 0.54 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Høgsberg?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Høgsberg plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.