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Ligue 1 · 25/26
NE

Neal Maupay

Forward · Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1 25/26

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 23 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.86
40%4 of 10
1.15
30%3 of 10
1.43
30%3 of 10
0.86
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Olympique de Marseille vs RC Strasbourg
Fri 21 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Neal Maupay featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Nice21 Nov 1 0 0 0 0 0
Stade Rennais17 May 12 0 0 0 1 0
Toulouse6 Apr 56 0 1 0 0 0
@ Stade de Reims29 Mar 56 1 1 1 0 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain16 Mar 10 0 0 1 0 0
RC Lens8 Mar 13 1 1 0 0 0
@ Auxerre22 Feb 29 0 0 0 0 0
@ Angers9 Feb 31 1 1 0 1 0
@ Nice26 Jan 61 0 0 0 0 0
RC Strasbourg19 Jan 45 0 0 1 3 0
Officials on record
Jeremie Pignard 3 games · Neal Maupay never booked 4.43cards/game 1.14×vs league
Willy Delajod 3 games · Neal Maupay never booked 3.71cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Neal Maupay have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Neal Maupay average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay is averaging 0.86 shots on target and 1.15 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Neal Maupay get booked?

Neal Maupay is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Neal Maupay commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Neal Maupay commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Neal Maupay?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Neal Maupay plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.