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Ligue 1 26/27
NE

Neal Maupay

Striker 100% of 14 recent starts Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 26/27

Also in: Premier LeagueLa Liga

Next match
Olympique de Marseille at Troyes›
Sun 11 OctReferee Guillaume Paradis

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 27 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.69 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.50MGMEdge
Total shots2.06 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
1.08bet365Edge
Fouls won0.69 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.69 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Tackles1.03 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Neal Maupay in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Neal MaupayOlympique de Marseille 10.00 0.00
Ciro ImmobileParis FC 121.90 1.01
Aiyegun TosinLorient 272.53 0.93
Mika BierethAS Monaco 321.54 1.30
Roman YaremchukOlympique Lyonnais 112.57 1.12
Terem MoffiHamburger SV 102.94 0.37
These 5, combined 2.19 1.01

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Neal Maupay featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Paris Saint-Germain20 Sep 84 0 2 0 1 1 0
@ Stade Rennais11 Sep 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ AS Monaco30 Aug 17 0 1 0 0 0 0
RC Strasbourg21 Aug 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Nice21 Nov 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stade Rennais17 May 12 0 0 0 1 0 0
Toulouse6 Apr 56 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Stade de Reims29 Mar 56 1 1 1 0 1 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain16 Mar 10 0 0 1 0 0 0
RC Lens8 Mar 13 1 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Willy Delajod 4 games Neal Maupay never booked 3.71cards/game 0.96×vs league
Jeremie Pignard 3 games Neal Maupay never booked 4.43cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Neal Maupay have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Neal Maupay average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay is averaging 0.69 shots on target and 2.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Neal Maupay get booked?

Neal Maupay is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Neal Maupay commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Neal Maupay commits 0.69 fouls per 90 and wins 0.69 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Neal Maupay?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Neal Maupay plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.