Neal Maupay
Also in: Premier LeagueLa Liga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Neal Maupay in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neal MaupayOlympique de Marseille | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ciro ImmobileParis FC | 12 | 1.90 | 1.01 |
| Aiyegun TosinLorient | 27 | 2.53 | 0.93 |
| Mika BierethAS Monaco | 32 | 1.54 | 1.30 |
| Roman YaremchukOlympique Lyonnais | 11 | 2.57 | 1.12 |
| Terem MoffiHamburger SV | 10 | 2.94 | 0.37 |
| These 5, combined | 2.19 | 1.01 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Neal Maupay featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain20 Sep | 84 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stade Rennais11 Sep | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Monaco30 Aug | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Strasbourg21 Aug | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice21 Nov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Rennais17 May | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Toulouse6 Apr | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stade de Reims29 Mar | 56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain16 Mar | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Lens8 Mar | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Neal Maupay have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Neal Maupay average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neal Maupay is averaging 0.69 shots on target and 2.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Neal Maupay get booked?
Neal Maupay is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Neal Maupay commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Neal Maupay commits 0.69 fouls per 90 and wins 0.69 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Neal Maupay?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Neal Maupay plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.