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Ligue 1 26/27
DA

Dame Gueye

Striker 100% of 4 recent starts Le MansLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Le Mans at Paris Saint-Germain›
Sat 10 OctReferee Mathieu Vernice

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 5 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 5 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.61 per 90
40%
2 of 50.9×
2.50PPEdge
Total shots1.82 per 90
80%Hot
4 of 51.2×
1.40PPEdge
Fouls won0.30 per 90
20%
1 of 50.4×
Fouls committed1.21 per 90
60%
3 of 51.1×
Tackles1.52 per 90
80%Hot
4 of 52.6×
0%
0 of 5
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.30 per 90
20%
1 of 51.0×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Dame Gueye has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 5

Recent matches

The last 5 games Dame Gueye featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Lorient19 Sep 31 0 0 1 0 1 0
RC Lens13 Sep 65 1 2 0 1 1 0
@ Nice5 Sep 61 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Stade Rennais30 Aug 68 0 2 1 0 1 0
Stade Brestois22 Aug 72 1 1 2 0 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Dame Gueye have a shot on target?

Over the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Dame Gueye has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Dame Gueye average?

Across the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Dame Gueye is averaging 0.61 shots on target and 1.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Dame Gueye get booked?

Dame Gueye is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Dame Gueye commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 5 games Dame Gueye commits 1.21 fouls per 90 and wins 0.30 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dame Gueye?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dame Gueye plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.