What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 3 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 forward, 25/26, 2,438 appearances
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Over the last 3 Ligue 1 games, Conrad Harder has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Conrad Harder has no Ligue 1 record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Ligue 1 strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conrad HarderRC StrasbourgBundesliga | 29 | 4.11 | 2.06 |
| Gonçalo RamosParis Saint-Germain | 30 | 3.95 | 1.64 |
| Sambou SoumanoLorient | 31 | 2.72 | 1.55 |
| EmersonnIpswich Town | 27 | 3.11 | 2.39 |
| Ally SamattaLe Havre | 27 | 2.44 | 2.03 |
| EndrickReal Madrid | 16 | 3.68 | 1.55 |
| These 5, combined | 3.17 | 1.88 |
Recent matches
The last 3 games Conrad Harder featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Paris FC19 Sep | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Monaco12 Sep | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Troyes6 Sep | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Conrad Harder have a shot on target?
Over the last 3 Ligue 1 games, Conrad Harder has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Conrad Harder average?
Across the last 3 Ligue 1 games, Conrad Harder is averaging 1.17 shots on target and 2.34 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Conrad Harder get booked?
Conrad Harder is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Conrad Harder commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 3 games Conrad Harder commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Conrad Harder?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Conrad Harder plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.