Premier League · 24/25

Brentford v Southampton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Brentford3 – 1 Southampton 31 Aug 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Ben Brereton Díaz	shots total	1+	93%	5	✓
Adam Armstrong	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Yoane Wissa	shots total	1+	88%	6	✓
Bryan Mbeumo	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Yoane Wissa	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Kevin Schade	shots total	1+	78%	2	✓
Will Smallbone	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Bryan Mbeumo	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Mateus Fernandes	shots total	1+	77%	2	✓
Yukinari Sugawara	shots total	1+	74%	3	✓
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	74%	2	✓
Flynn Downes	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	43%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	29%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Brentford & Southampton player stats→ Brentford players & stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works