Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Brentford

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton0 – 5 Brentford 4 Jan 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Paul Onuachu	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Yoane Wissa	shots total	1+	90%	8	✓
Bryan Mbeumo	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Adam Armstrong	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Kevin Schade	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Kamaldeen Sulemana	shots total	1+	86%	1	✓
Paul Onuachu	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Keane Lewis-Potter	shots total	1+	78%	2	✓
Yoane Wissa	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Lesley Ugochukwu	fouls committed	1+	74%	2	✓
Paul Onuachu	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	54%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	28%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Southampton & Brentford player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Brentford players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works