Premier League · 25/26

Burnley v Tottenham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Burnley2 – 2 Tottenham 24 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Dominic Solanke	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Wilson Odobert	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Conor Gallagher	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Marcus Edwards	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Xavi Simons	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Jaidon Anthony	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Jaidon Anthony	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Armando Broja	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Lyle Foster	shots total	1+	78%	2	✓
Conor Gallagher	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Armando Broja	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Conor Gallagher	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Xavi Simons	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Yves Bissouma	shots total	1+	77%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	44%	1 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	43%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Burnley & Tottenham player stats→ Burnley players & stats→ Tottenham players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works