Premier League · 24/25

Everton v Southampton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Everton2 – 0 Southampton 18 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Beto	shots total	1+	96%	3	✓
Carlos Alcaraz	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Jay Robinson	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Kamaldeen Sulemana	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Dwight McNeil	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Ross Stewart	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Mateus Fernandes	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Iliman Ndiaye	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Iliman Ndiaye	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Abdoulaye Doucouré	shots total	1+	77%	2	✓
Beto	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗
Flynn Downes	fouls committed	1+	75%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	43%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	39%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	19%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Everton & Southampton player stats→ Everton players & stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works