Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Everton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton1 – 0 Everton 2 Nov 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Beto	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Adam Armstrong	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Jesper Lindstrøm	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Dwight McNeil	shots total	1+	84%	0	✗
Beto	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Adam Lallana	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	77%	0	✗
Jack Harrison	shots total	1+	74%	2	✓
Joe Aribo	shots total	1+	74%	2	✓
Orel Mangala	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	53%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	52%	1 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	25%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Southampton & Everton player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Everton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works