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Premier League · 25/26

Everton v West Ham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Everton1 – 1 West Ham 29 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jack Grealish fouls drawn 1+ 100% 5
Beto shots total 1+ 96% 1
Jarrod Bowen shots total 1+ 93% 3
Thierno Barry shots total 1+ 93% 0
Niclas Füllkrug shots total 1+ 88% 2
Jack Grealish shots total 1+ 88% 0
Lucas Paquetá fouls drawn 1+ 86% 1
Crysencio Summerville fouls drawn 1+ 86% 2
Lucas Paquetá fouls committed 1+ 79% 1
Niclas Füllkrug fouls committed 1+ 78% 1
Iliman Ndiaye fouls drawn 1+ 78% 1
Jarrod Bowen fouls drawn 1+ 78% 1
Iliman Ndiaye shots total 1+ 74% 1
Crysencio Summerville shots total 1+ 74% 3

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 50% Yes
Match goals O2.5 43% 2 goals
Match cards O4.5 23% 7 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.