Premier League · 24/25

Leicester v Man City

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leicester0 – 2 Man City 29 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Phil Foden	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Erling Haaland	shots total	1+	100%	6	✓
Kevin De Bruyne	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Savinho	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Mateo Kovačić	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Joško Gvardiol	shots total	1+	83%	0	✗
James McAtee	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Phil Foden	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls committed	1+	77%	3	✓
Bernardo Silva	shots total	1+	77%	0	✗
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓
Savinho	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗
Rico Lewis	fouls drawn	1+	73%	3	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	73%	4	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	60%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	53%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	27%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Leicester & Man City player stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Man City players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works