Premier League · 24/25

Man City v Leicester

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Man City2 – 0 Leicester 2 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Jack Grealish	fouls drawn	1+	100%	1	✓
Savinho	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Jérémy Doku	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Omar Marmoush	shots total	1+	88%	9	✓
Jack Grealish	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Nico O'Reilly	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Matheus Nunes	fouls committed	1+	77%	2	✓
Nico González	fouls committed	1+	76%	2	✓
Patson Daka	fouls committed	1+	74%	1	✓
Patson Daka	shots total	1+	74%	0	✗
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗
Omar Marmoush	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓
Patson Daka	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	60%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	43%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	23%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Man City & Leicester player stats→ Man City players & stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works