Premier League · 24/25
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip
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Leicester v Nottingham Forest
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Leicester1 – 3
Nottingham Forest
25 Oct 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ayew | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Chris Wood | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Facundo Buonanotte | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 4 | ✓ |
| Elliot Anderson | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Callum Hudson Odoi | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ryan Yates | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Elanga | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ryan Yates | fouls drawn | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Facundo Buonanotte | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jamie Vardy | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Ayew | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicolás Domínguez | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 53% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 8 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Leicester & Nottingham Forest player stats→
Leicester players & stats→
Nottingham Forest players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Nottingham Forest 2–2 Leicester May 2025
- Nottingham Forest 2–0 Leicester Jan 2023
- Leicester 4–0 Nottingham Forest Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.