Premier League · 24/25
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Leicester v Southampton
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Leicester2 – 0
Southampton
3 May 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ayew | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Paul Onuachu | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jay Robinson | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ross Stewart | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamie Vardy | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Ayew | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kamaldeen Sulemana | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tyler Dibling | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateus Fernandes | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tyler Dibling | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Flynn Downes | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jeremy Monga | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kasey McAteer | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateus Fernandes | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 43% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 23% | 4 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Leicester & Southampton player stats→
Leicester players & stats→
Southampton players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Southampton 2–3 Leicester Oct 2024
- Southampton 1–0 Leicester Mar 2023
- Leicester 1–2 Southampton Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.