Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Leicester

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton2 – 3 Leicester 19 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Jordan Ayew	fouls drawn	1+	100%	0	✗
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	96%	4	✓
Paul Onuachu	shots total	1+	95%	1	✓
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls drawn	1+	85%	2	✓
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Jordan Ayew	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Will Smallbone	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Facundo Buonanotte	shots total	1+	79%	5	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	78%	4	✓
James Justin	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Paul Onuachu	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	52%	5 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	29%	9 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Southampton & Leicester player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works