Leicester v Wolves
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ayew | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Matheus Cunha | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Gonçalo Guedes | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Bobby De Cordova-Reid | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rodrigo Gomes | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamie Vardy | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 6 | ✓ |
| Jordan Ayew | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bobby De Cordova-Reid | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Gomes | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 4 | ✓ |
| Matheus Cunha | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Stephy Mavididi | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Gomes | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Hamza Choudhury | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 53% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 44% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Wolves 3–0 Leicester Apr 2025
- Leicester 2–1 Wolves Apr 2023
- Wolves 0–4 Leicester Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.