Premier League · 24/25

Wolves v Leicester

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves3 – 0 Leicester 26 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matheus Cunha	fouls drawn	1+	100%	6	✓
Jordan Ayew	fouls drawn	1+	100%	2	✓
Matheus Cunha	shots total	1+	100%	6	✓
Marshall Munetsi	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Jørgen Strand Larsen	shots total	1+	93%	4	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls drawn	1+	85%	1	✓
Kasey McAteer	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Jordan Ayew	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Jørgen Strand Larsen	fouls committed	1+	79%	0	✗
João Gomes	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	44%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	43%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	28%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Wolves & Leicester player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works