Premier League · 25/26

Newcastle v West Ham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Newcastle3 – 1 West Ham 17 May 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Bruno Guimarães	fouls drawn	1+	100%	5	✓
William Osula	shots total	1+	96%	3	✓
Callum Wilson	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Harvey Barnes	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	93%	8	✓
Crysencio Summerville	fouls drawn	1+	86%	4	✓
Bruno Guimarães	shots total	1+	84%	2	✓
Joe Willock	shots total	1+	83%	1	✓
Crysencio Summerville	shots total	1+	83%	1	✓
Crysencio Summerville	fouls committed	1+	81%	0	✗
Sandro Tonali	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Jarrod Bowen	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Pablo Felipe	fouls committed	1+	79%	0	✗
Nick Woltemade	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	28%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Newcastle & West Ham player stats→ Newcastle players & stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works