Premier League · 25/26

West Ham v Man City

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Ham1 – 1 Man City 14 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Jérémy Doku	fouls drawn	1+	100%	2	✓
Erling Haaland	shots total	1+	100%	4	✓
Omar Marmoush	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Antoine Semenyo	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Rayan Cherki	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Jérémy Doku	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Rayan Cherki	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Rodri	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Pablo Felipe	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Valentín Castellanos	fouls committed	1+	76%	1	✓
Tomáš Souček	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗
Pablo Felipe	shots total	1+	74%	0	✗
Omar Marmoush	fouls drawn	1+	73%	4	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	53%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	23%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

West Ham & Man City player stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Man City players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works