Wolves v Crystal Palace
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Nketiah | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Eddie Nketiah | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tolu Arokodare | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ismaïla Sarr | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Eddie Nketiah | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Gomes | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ismaïla Sarr | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Gomes | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marshall Munetsi | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Yéremy Pino | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Yéremy Pino | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 25% | 5 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Crystal Palace 1–0 Wolves Feb 2026
- Crystal Palace 4–2 Wolves May 2025
- Wolves 2–2 Crystal Palace Nov 2024
- Wolves 1–3 Crystal Palace May 2024
- Crystal Palace 3–2 Wolves Sep 2023
- Wolves 2–0 Crystal Palace Apr 2023
- Crystal Palace 2–1 Wolves Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.