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Premier League · 25/26

Wolves v Tottenham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves0 – 1 Tottenham 25 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Richarlison shots total 1+ 96% 2
Mathys Tel shots total 1+ 93% 1
Dominic Solanke shots total 1+ 88% 0
Xavi Simons shots total 1+ 88% 2
Mateus Mané shots total 1+ 88% 2
Rodrigo Gomes shots total 1+ 88% 1
Xavi Simons fouls drawn 1+ 86% 0
Richarlison fouls drawn 1+ 85% 0
Mateus Mané fouls drawn 1+ 84% 3
Mathys Tel fouls drawn 1+ 84% 1
Conor Gallagher fouls drawn 1+ 84% 1
Randal Kolo Muani fouls committed 1+ 84% 0
João Gomes fouls committed 1+ 81% 3
Adam Armstrong shots total 1+ 80% 3

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 50% No
Match cards O4.5 44% 7 cards
Match goals O2.5 43% 1 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.