What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alfie Doughty featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham19 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ West Ham11 May | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Everton3 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Wolves27 Apr | 88 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brentford20 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| @ Man City13 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Bournemouth6 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal3 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham30 Mar | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest16 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alfie Doughty have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alfie Doughty average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.53 shots on target and 0.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alfie Doughty get booked?
Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alfie Doughty commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Alfie Doughty commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 0.32 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfie Doughty?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alfie Doughty plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.