Alfie Doughty
Over his last 10 Premier League games, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, and 1+ foul won in 30%. He has been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alfie Doughty featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham19 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| @ West Ham11 May | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton3 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Wolves27 Apr | 88 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentford20 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Man City13 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bournemouth6 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal3 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham30 Mar | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest16 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Alfie Doughty have a shot on target?
Over his last 10 Premier League games, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Alfie Doughty average?
Across his last 10 Premier League games, Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.53 shots on target and 0.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alfie Doughty get booked?
Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alfie Doughty commit or win more fouls?
Over his last 10 games Alfie Doughty commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 0.32 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfie Doughty?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Alfie Doughty plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.