What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship wing-back, 25/26, 718 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alfie Doughty featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City11 May | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City8 May | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oxford United2 May | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City7 Mar | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End28 Feb | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Birmingham City25 Feb | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth21 Feb | 81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield Wednesday14 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham7 Feb | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sheffield United31 Jan | 60 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alfie Doughty have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alfie Doughty average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 0.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alfie Doughty get booked?
Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alfie Doughty commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Alfie Doughty commits 0.42 fouls per 90 and wins 0.21 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfie Doughty?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alfie Doughty plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.