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Championship · 25/26
AL

Alfie Doughty

Midfielder · Millwall · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 7% of 27 Championship appearances (2 of 27), 1+ total shot in 26%, 1+ foul committed in 48%, 1+ foul won in 15%, and been booked in 15% (4 of 27). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.21
20%2 of 10
0.42
10%1 of 10
0.21
20%2 of 10
0.42
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Millwall at Bristol City
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Alfie Doughty featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Hull City11 May 27 0 0 0 0 0
@ Hull City8 May 8 0 0 0 0 0
Oxford United2 May 29 0 0 0 0 0
@ Hull City7 Mar 17 0 0 0 0 0
@ Preston North End28 Feb 14 0 0 0 0 0
Birmingham City25 Feb 17 0 0 1 0 0
Portsmouth21 Feb 81 0 1 1 1 0
@ Sheffield Wednesday14 Feb 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ Wrexham7 Feb 87 0 0 0 0 0
Sheffield United31 Jan 60 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 7 games · Alfie Doughty booked in 1 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Stephen Martin 5 games · Alfie Doughty booked in 2 4.50cards/game 1.12×vs league
Tim Robinson 5 games · Alfie Doughty booked in 2 4.57cards/game 1.14×vs league
Dean Whitestone 5 games · Alfie Doughty never booked 3.41cards/game 0.85×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Alfie Doughty have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Alfie Doughty has hit 1+ shot on target in 7% of 27 Championship appearances (2 of 27). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Alfie Doughty average?

Across 27 Championship appearances in 25/26, Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Alfie Doughty get booked?

Alfie Doughty is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Alfie Doughty commit or win more fouls?

This season Alfie Doughty commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 0.25 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfie Doughty?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Alfie Doughty plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.