Callum Wilson
Striker 97% of 30 recent starts BrentfordPremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Callum Wilson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Callum Wilson in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Callum WilsonBrentford | 32 | 2.71 | 0.86 |
| Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace | 32 | 2.55 | 0.85 |
| Chris WoodNottingham Forest | 15 | 2.28 | 0.60 |
| Wilson IsidorSunderland | 32 | 3.30 | 1.07 |
| Donyell MalenAston Villa | 21 | 3.57 | 0.26 |
| Viktor GyökeresArsenal | 36 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| These 5, combined | 2.62 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Callum Wilson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland5 Sep | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leeds30 Aug | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham22 Aug | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leeds24 May | 45 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle17 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Arsenal10 May | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brentford2 May | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton25 Apr | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Crystal Palace20 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves10 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Callum Wilson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Callum Wilson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Callum Wilson average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Callum Wilson is averaging 1.54 shots on target and 3.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Callum Wilson get booked?
Callum Wilson is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Callum Wilson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Callum Wilson commits 1.15 fouls per 90 and wins 0.77 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Callum Wilson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Callum Wilson plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.