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Premier League 24/25
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Carlos Vinícius

Striker 100% of 13 recent starts FulhamPremier League 24/25

Next match
Fulham at Ipswich Town›
Sat 10 OctReferee Lewis Smith

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 44 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.93 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots2.57 per 90
30%
3 of 100.4×
Fouls won1.93 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Tackles0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
0%
0 of 10
Cards1.29 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
Goals0.64 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Carlos Vinícius has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Carlos Vinícius featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Southampton26 Apr 9 0 0 0 1 0 0
Chelsea20 Apr 14 0 0 0 1 0 0
Southampton22 Dec 10 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Bournemouth26 Dec 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
Burnley23 Dec 26 1 2 0 0 0 0
West Ham10 Dec 18 1 1 0 0 0 0
Nottingham Forest6 Dec 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Liverpool3 Dec 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Wolves27 Nov 14 0 0 0 1 0 1
@ Aston Villa12 Nov 16 0 0 0 0 0 1
Officials on record
Paul Tierney 4 games Carlos Vinícius never booked 3.74cards/game 0.92×vs league
Stuart Attwell 4 games Carlos Vinícius never booked 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Darren England 3 games Carlos Vinícius booked in 1 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league
Robert Jones 3 games Carlos Vinícius never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Carlos Vinícius have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Carlos Vinícius has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Carlos Vinícius average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Carlos Vinícius is averaging 1.93 shots on target and 2.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Carlos Vinícius get booked?

Carlos Vinícius is averaging 1.29 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Carlos Vinícius commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Carlos Vinícius commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 1.93 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlos Vinícius?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carlos Vinícius plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.