What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Che Adams has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Che Adams has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Che AdamsTorinoSerie A | 33 | 2.52 | 0.85 |
| Alexander IsakLiverpool FC | 14 | 2.14 | 0.63 |
| Chris WoodNottingham Forest | 15 | 2.28 | 0.60 |
| Danny WelbeckChelsea | 37 | 2.22 | 1.19 |
| Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace | 32 | 2.55 | 0.85 |
| Ollie WatkinsAston Villa | 37 | 2.62 | 1.10 |
| These 5, combined | 2.43 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Che Adams featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Nottingham Forest8 May | 76 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle30 Apr | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth27 Apr | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham18 Mar | 70 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brentford15 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd12 Mar | 76 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Leicester4 Mar | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wolves11 Feb | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brentford4 Feb | 81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Aston Villa21 Jan | 61 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Che Adams have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Che Adams has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Che Adams average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Che Adams is averaging 0.31 shots on target and 1.88 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Che Adams get booked?
Che Adams is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Che Adams commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Che Adams commits 2.03 fouls per 90 and wins 1.72 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Che Adams?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Che Adams plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.