What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 3 games
Compared with a Premier League midfielder, 25/26, 4,546 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 3 Premier League games, Dan Neil has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 3), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Dan Neil in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 87 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan NeilSunderland | 3 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Harrison ArmstrongEverton | 13 | 0.84 | 1.01 |
| Mikel MerinoArsenal | 22 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Bruno GuimarãesArsenal | 29 | 1.54 | 1.65 |
| Elliot AndersonManchester City | 38 | 1.19 | 1.54 |
| Ryan ChristieBournemouth | 26 | 2.28 | 1.55 |
| These 5, combined | 1.49 | 1.59 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 3 games Dan Neil featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Brentford7 Jan | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves18 Oct | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aston Villa21 Sep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Dan Neil have a shot on target?
Over the last 3 Premier League games, Dan Neil has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Dan Neil average?
Across the last 3 Premier League games, Dan Neil is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Dan Neil get booked?
Dan Neil is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Dan Neil commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 3 games Dan Neil commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 6.92 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dan Neil?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dan Neil plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.