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SharpXI©
Premier League 25/26
DJ

Djed Spence

Full-back 87% of 30 recent starts InterPremier League 25/26

Also in: Serie AChampionshipLigue 1

Next match
Inter at Manchester United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 101.7×
Total shots0.64 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
Fouls won1.12 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.76 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles2.73 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Djed Spence has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Djed Spence in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Djed SpenceInter 300.56 1.21
Ian MaatsenAston Villa 301.11 0.95
Jurriën TimberArsenal 300.92 1.39
Trai HumeSunderland 381.01 0.92
Adrien TruffertBournemouth 380.43 1.04
Matty CashAston Villa 350.89 1.22
These 5, combined 0.83 1.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Djed Spence featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Everton24 May 90 1 1 3 2 2 0
@ Chelsea19 May 22 0 0 0 1 0 0
Leeds11 May 21 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Aston Villa3 May 23 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Wolves25 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 3 0
Brighton18 Apr 14 0 0 0 0 1 0
Nottingham Forest22 Mar 45 0 0 1 0 4 0
@ Liverpool15 Mar 76 1 2 0 2 3 0
Arsenal22 Feb 90 0 0 4 2 2 0
Newcastle10 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 2 1
Officials on record
Jarred Gillett 7 games Djed Spence booked in 2 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league
Peter Bankes 6 games Djed Spence never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 5 games Djed Spence booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Michael Oliver 5 games Djed Spence never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Djed Spence have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Djed Spence has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Djed Spence average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Djed Spence is averaging 0.32 shots on target and 0.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Djed Spence get booked?

Djed Spence is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Djed Spence commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Djed Spence commits 1.76 fouls per 90 and wins 1.12 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Djed Spence?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Djed Spence plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.