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Premier League 24/25
FL

Flynn Downes

Central midfielder 83% of 30 recent starts SouthamptonPremier League 24/25

Also in: Championship

Last games
max 48 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls won1.28 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Fouls committed1.98 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.8×
Tackles1.87 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.47 per 90
40%
4 of 102.4×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Flynn Downes has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

Flynn Downes has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Championship 26/27 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Flynn DownesSouthamptonChampionship 80.29 1.29
Soungoutou MagassaWest Ham United 220.63 1.53
Boubacar KamaraAston Villa 180.44 1.08
João PalhinhaTottenham Hotspur 331.35 1.15
Mateus FernandesTottenham Hotspur 360.83 1.46
Tim IroegbunamHull City 290.72 1.73
These 5, combined 0.86 1.38

Recent matches

The last 10 games Flynn Downes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Arsenal25 May 90 0 0 2 1 1 0
@ Everton18 May 90 0 0 1 2 2 1
Man City10 May 90 0 0 1 1 2 1
@ Leicester3 May 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
Fulham26 Apr 90 0 0 1 2 2 0
@ West Ham19 Apr 90 0 1 1 1 1 0
Crystal Palace2 Apr 89 0 0 3 1 4 1
Wolves15 Mar 14 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Chelsea25 Feb 83 0 0 2 0 2 0
@ Nottingham Forest19 Jan 45 0 1 4 1 1 1
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 5 games Flynn Downes booked in 2 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 4 games Flynn Downes never booked 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Craig Pawson 3 games Flynn Downes booked in 1 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Tony Harrington 3 games Flynn Downes booked in 1 3.83cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Flynn Downes have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Flynn Downes has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Flynn Downes average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Flynn Downes is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Flynn Downes get booked?

Flynn Downes is averaging 0.47 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Flynn Downes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Flynn Downes commits 1.98 fouls per 90 and wins 1.28 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Flynn Downes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Flynn Downes plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.