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Championship 26/27
FL

Flynn Downes

Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts SouthamptonChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Southampton vs Portsmouth›
Sun 11 OctReferee Adam Herczeg

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.33PPEdge
Total shots0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.91PPEdge
Fouls won1.43 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.62bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.31 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.20bet365Edge
Tackles2.87 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 8
Cards0.48 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
2.80PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 104.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 26/27, Flynn Downes has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8), 1+ total shot in 25%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 88%, and been booked in 38% (3 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Flynn Downes in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 41 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Flynn DownesSouthampton 80.29 1.29
Conor McGrandlesLincoln City 80.26 0.93
Alex MowattDerby County 70.34 1.51
Ousmane DiakitéWest Bromwich Albion 81.12 1.40
Leo LeroyPreston North End 81.33 1.49
Djibril SoumaréStoke City 80.30 1.66
These 5, combined 0.66 1.38

Recent matches

The last 10 games Flynn Downes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Wrexham19 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 2 1
Bristol City12 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
Swansea City8 Sep 90 0 1 2 2 5 0
@ Lincoln City5 Sep 90 0 0 2 2 1 0
@ Birmingham City1 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 3 0
Millwall29 Aug 45 0 0 0 2 1 0
Stoke City22 Aug 90 0 0 4 3 3 1
@ Watford16 Aug 90 0 1 1 1 6 1
Middlesbrough12 May 54 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Middlesbrough9 May 69 0 0 2 0 0 1
Officials on record
James Bell 7 games Flynn Downes booked in 5 3.93cards/game 0.98×vs league
Matt Donohue 6 games Flynn Downes booked in 3 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
Oliver Langford 6 games Flynn Downes booked in 2 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
David Webb 5 games Flynn Downes never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Flynn Downes have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Flynn Downes has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Flynn Downes average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Flynn Downes is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.29 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Flynn Downes get booked?

Flynn Downes is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Flynn Downes commit or win more fouls?

This season Flynn Downes commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 1.71 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Flynn Downes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Flynn Downes plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.