Flynn Downes
In 25/26, Flynn Downes has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 38 Championship appearances (5 of 38), 1+ total shot in 29%, 1+ foul committed in 71%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 34% (13 of 38). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Flynn Downes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough12 May | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Middlesbrough9 May | 69 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Bristol City21 Apr | 87 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Swansea City18 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Blackburn Rovers14 Apr | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Derby County11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham7 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oxford United21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Norwich18 Mar | 65 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Coventry City14 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Flynn Downes have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Flynn Downes has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 38 Championship appearances (5 of 38). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Flynn Downes average?
Across 38 Championship appearances in 25/26, Flynn Downes is averaging 0.16 shots on target and 0.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Flynn Downes get booked?
Flynn Downes is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Flynn Downes commit or win more fouls?
This season Flynn Downes commits 1.90 fouls per 90 and wins 0.85 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Flynn Downes?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Flynn Downes plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.