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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
HA

Harry Wilson

Winger 83% of 30 recent starts LeedsPremier League 26/27

Next match
Leeds at Arsenal›
Sat 10 OctReferee Paul Tierney

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
2.38bet365Edge
Total shots2.06 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls won1.31 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.30bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.94 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.53bet365Edge
Tackles1.68 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
10%
1 of 100.9×
Cards0.37 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
3.40bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Wilson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Harry Wilson in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Harry WilsonFulham 362.61 0.43
Jacob MurphyNewcastle United 332.32 0.50
Leandro TrossardArsenal 312.38 0.58
Alejandro GarnachoAston Villa 242.31 0.63
Harvey BarnesNewcastle United 372.66 0.78
Bryan MbeumoManchester United 332.51 0.79
These 5, combined 2.45 0.67

Recent matches

The last 10 games Harry Wilson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Newcastle14 Sep 18 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Brighton5 Sep 17 0 0 2 0 0 1
Brentford30 Aug 45 0 1 0 1 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest22 Aug 66 0 0 1 0 2 0
Newcastle24 May 18 0 2 0 0 1 0
@ Wolves17 May 11 1 2 0 1 0 0
Bournemouth9 May 62 0 1 0 2 0 0
@ Arsenal2 May 64 0 0 0 0 2 0
Aston Villa25 Apr 90 0 3 1 2 1 1
@ Brentford18 Apr 90 0 2 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Robert Jones 11 games Harry Wilson never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Stuart Attwell 10 games Harry Wilson booked in 3 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Michael Oliver 9 games Harry Wilson booked in 2 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Paul Tierney 7 games Harry Wilson never booked 3.74cards/game 0.92×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Harry Wilson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Wilson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Harry Wilson average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Wilson is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 2.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Harry Wilson get booked?

Harry Wilson is averaging 0.37 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Harry Wilson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Harry Wilson commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 1.31 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harry Wilson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harry Wilson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.