Jamie Vardy
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts BurnleyPremier League 24/25
Also in: Serie AChampionship
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jamie Vardy has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Jamie Vardy has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie VardyBurnleySerie A | 29 | 1.28 | 0.81 |
| Adam ArmstrongWolverhampton | 14 | 1.41 | 1.02 |
| Danny WelbeckChelsea | 37 | 2.22 | 1.19 |
| EvanilsonBournemouth | 36 | 2.28 | 0.85 |
| Viktor GyökeresArsenal | 36 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Nick WoltemadeNewcastle United | 33 | 1.49 | 0.93 |
| These 5, combined | 2.01 | 1.08 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Jamie Vardy featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich18 May | 80 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest11 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton3 May | 85 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves26 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Liverpool20 Apr | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brighton12 Apr | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Newcastle7 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Man City2 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Man Utd16 Mar | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea9 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Jamie Vardy have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jamie Vardy has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Jamie Vardy average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Jamie Vardy is averaging 0.92 shots on target and 1.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Jamie Vardy get booked?
Jamie Vardy is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Jamie Vardy commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Jamie Vardy commits 1.15 fouls per 90 and wins 0.57 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jamie Vardy?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jamie Vardy plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.