Jamie Vardy
Striker 100% of 18 recent starts BurnleyChampionship 26/27
Also in: Premier LeagueSerie A
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Jamie Vardy has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Jamie Vardy in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie VardyBurnley | 2 | 0.00 | 2.14 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaWatford | 8 | 1.29 | 2.21 |
| Mohamed TouréNorwich City | 7 | 2.17 | 0.99 |
| Lyndon DykesMillwall | 8 | 2.59 | 2.20 |
| Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers | 7 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Kieffer MooreWrexham | 8 | 2.49 | 1.15 |
| These 5, combined | 1.97 | 1.55 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Jamie Vardy featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County19 Sep | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City12 Sep | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers4 May | 78 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End29 Apr | 75 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Southampton23 Apr | 82 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| West Brom20 Apr | 86 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Plymouth Argyle12 Apr | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Millwall9 Apr | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Birmingham City6 Apr | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Norwich1 Apr | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Jamie Vardy have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Jamie Vardy has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Jamie Vardy average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Jamie Vardy is averaging 1.97 shots on target and 3.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Jamie Vardy get booked?
Jamie Vardy is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Jamie Vardy commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Jamie Vardy commits 0.72 fouls per 90 and wins 0.90 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jamie Vardy?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jamie Vardy plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.