Leon Bailey
In 25/26, Leon Bailey has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of his 13 Premier League appearances (1 of 13), 1+ total shot in 46%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, and 1+ foul won in 38%. He has been booked in 8% (1 of 13). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Leon Bailey featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Man City24 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Burnley10 May | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham3 May | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham25 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham22 Mar | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd15 Mar | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Chelsea4 Mar | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Wolves27 Feb | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Leeds21 Feb | 61 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton11 Feb | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Leon Bailey have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Leon Bailey has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of his 13 Premier League appearances (1 of 13). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Leon Bailey average?
Across 13 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Leon Bailey is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 1.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Leon Bailey get booked?
Leon Bailey is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Leon Bailey commit or win more fouls?
This season Leon Bailey commits 1.16 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Leon Bailey?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Leon Bailey plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.