Mads Roerslev
Wing-back 53% of 30 recent starts SouthamptonPremier League 24/25
Also in: ChampionshipBundesliga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Mads Roerslev has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mads Roerslev featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Crystal Palace26 Jan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Liverpool18 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Man City14 Jan | 87 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Southampton4 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Arsenal1 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brighton27 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest21 Dec | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea15 Dec | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa4 Dec | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Leicester30 Nov | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mads Roerslev have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Mads Roerslev has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mads Roerslev average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Mads Roerslev is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 0.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mads Roerslev get booked?
Mads Roerslev is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mads Roerslev commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mads Roerslev commits 0.55 fouls per 90 and wins 0.96 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mads Roerslev?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mads Roerslev plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.