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Premier League 26/27
MA

Max Dowman

Midfielder ArsenalPremier League 26/27

Next match
Arsenal vs Leeds United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Paul Tierney

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 7 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 7 games

Compared with a Premier League midfielder, 25/26, 4,546 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.53 per 90
14%
1 of 70.5×
1.57bet365Edge
Total shots3.16 per 90
57%
4 of 71.0×
1.06PPEdge
Fouls won4.21 per 90
86%Hot
6 of 71.6×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.05 per 90
29%
2 of 70.5×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles1.05 per 90
14%
1 of 70.2×
0%
0 of 7
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 7
9.00bet365Edge
Goals0.53 per 90
14%
1 of 71.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 7
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 7 Premier League games, Max Dowman has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7), 1+ total shot in 57%, 1+ foul committed in 29%, 1+ foul won in 86%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 7). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 7

Recent matches

The last 7 games Max Dowman featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Brighton19 Sep 9 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Crystal Palace24 May 62 0 0 1 1 0 0
Fulham2 May 12 0 1 0 1 0 0
Bournemouth11 Apr 36 0 0 1 1 0 0
Everton14 Mar 16 1 2 0 2 0 0
@ Liverpool31 Aug 10 0 1 0 0 0 0
Leeds23 Aug 26 0 2 0 2 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Max Dowman have a shot on target?

Over the last 7 Premier League games, Max Dowman has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Max Dowman average?

Across the last 7 Premier League games, Max Dowman is averaging 0.53 shots on target and 3.16 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Max Dowman get booked?

Max Dowman is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 7 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Max Dowman commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 7 games Max Dowman commits 1.05 fouls per 90 and wins 4.21 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Max Dowman?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Max Dowman plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.