Ollie Watkins
In 25/26, Ollie Watkins has hit 1+ shot on target in 57% of his 37 Premier League appearances (21 of 37), 1+ total shot in 84%, 1+ foul committed in 65%, and 1+ foul won in 59%. He has been booked in 11% (4 of 37). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ollie Watkins featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Man City24 May | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Liverpool15 May | 90 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Burnley10 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham3 May | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Fulham25 Apr | 80 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sunderland19 Apr | 80 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest12 Apr | 87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| West Ham22 Mar | 87 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd15 Mar | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Chelsea4 Mar | 71 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Ollie Watkins have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Ollie Watkins has hit 1+ shot on target in 57% of his 37 Premier League appearances (21 of 37). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Ollie Watkins average?
Across 37 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Ollie Watkins is averaging 1.20 shots on target and 2.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ollie Watkins get booked?
Ollie Watkins is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ollie Watkins commit or win more fouls?
This season Ollie Watkins commits 1.10 fouls per 90 and wins 1.01 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ollie Watkins?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ollie Watkins plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.