Tom Cairney
Central midfielder 83% of 29 recent starts FulhamPremier League 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tom Cairney has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Tom Cairney in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom CairneyFulham | 24 | 1.90 | 1.12 |
| Will HughesCrystal Palace | 31 | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Douglas LuizJuventus | 21 | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| Habib DiarraSunderland | 20 | 1.66 | 1.28 |
| Alexis Mac AllisterLiverpool FC | 37 | 1.75 | 1.18 |
| Sandro TonaliTottenham Hotspur | 35 | 1.31 | 0.85 |
| These 5, combined | 1.41 | 1.13 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Tom Cairney featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle24 May | 30 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bournemouth9 May | 76 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal2 May | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Brentford18 Apr | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest15 Mar | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham4 Mar | 61 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham1 Mar | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Sunderland22 Feb | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd1 Feb | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton24 Jan | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Tom Cairney have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tom Cairney has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Tom Cairney average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Tom Cairney is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 1.81 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tom Cairney get booked?
Tom Cairney is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tom Cairney commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Tom Cairney commits 1.55 fouls per 90 and wins 1.03 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tom Cairney?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tom Cairney plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.