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SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 26/27
FR

Francisco Moura

Defender FC PortoPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
FC Porto at Gil Vicente›
Sat 24 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.30 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Total shots0.45 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.76 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.06 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
Tackles2.27 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.30 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Francisco Moura has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Francisco Moura in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 11 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Francisco MouraFC Porto 210.74 1.35
Iván FresnedaSporting CP 230.50 1.12
Zaidu SanusiFC Porto 170.54 0.72
Amar DedićNewcastle United 240.71 0.80
Georgios VagiannidisSporting CP 220.63 1.74
Fabiano SouzaMoreirense 70.36 1.61
These 5, combined 0.58 1.13

Recent matches

The last 10 games Francisco Moura featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Marítimo10 Oct 90 2 2 1 1 6 0
Benfica20 Sep 21 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Casa Pia12 Sep 90 0 0 2 0 2 0
Moreirense4 Sep 64 0 0 1 1 0 1
Santa Clara16 May 81 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ AVS - Futebol SAD10 May 90 0 0 1 0 3 0
@ Estoril Praia12 Apr 20 0 0 0 2 2 0
@ Benfica8 Mar 32 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sporting CP9 Feb 17 0 0 1 0 1 1
@ Casa Pia2 Feb 90 0 1 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 10 games Francisco Moura booked in 2 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league
Miguel Nogueira 9 games Francisco Moura booked in 4 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league
Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso 9 games Francisco Moura booked in 2 5.35cards/game 1.03×vs league
Luís Godinho 8 games Francisco Moura booked in 2 5.39cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Francisco Moura have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Francisco Moura has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Francisco Moura average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Francisco Moura is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.45 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Francisco Moura get booked?

Francisco Moura is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Francisco Moura commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Francisco Moura commits 1.06 fouls per 90 and wins 0.76 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Francisco Moura?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Francisco Moura plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.