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SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 25/26
MA

Matheus Araújo

Defender Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 25/26

Next match
Santa Clara vs Benfica›
Sat 24 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.41 per 90
20%
2 of 101.7×
Total shots0.95 per 90
50%
5 of 101.5×
Fouls won0.68 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.68 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
Tackles1.09 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
Goals0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 102.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Matheus Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Matheus Araújo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
FC Arouca21 Dec 75 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Sporting Braga15 Dec 31 0 0 1 1 2 0
Casa Pia6 Dec 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Rio Ave30 Nov 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Vitória SC4 Oct 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
Tondela27 Sep 90 0 0 1 3 0 1
FC Alverca20 Sep 90 2 3 1 0 0 0
@ Benfica12 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ Estoril Praia6 Sep 90 0 1 0 1 2 0
CF Estrela Amadora31 Aug 90 0 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Miguel Nogueira 6 games Matheus Araújo booked in 1 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira 5 games Matheus Araújo booked in 1 4.63cards/game 0.90×vs league
Joao Pedro Pinheiro 4 games Matheus Araújo booked in 2 4.89cards/game 0.95×vs league
Gustavo Correia 4 games Matheus Araújo never booked 5.97cards/game 1.15×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Matheus Araújo have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Matheus Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Matheus Araújo average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Matheus Araújo is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 0.95 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Matheus Araújo get booked?

Matheus Araújo is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Matheus Araújo commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Matheus Araújo commits 0.68 fouls per 90 and wins 0.68 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matheus Araújo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matheus Araújo plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.